Talk Of Strike On Syria Moves From 'Will It Happen?' To When

NPR icon by Mark Memmott
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Khaled al-Hariri

With U.S. officials saying there's little doubt that President Bashar Assad's regime used chemical weapons on the Syrian people last week, and with U.S. Navy ships moving toward that country's coast, it now seems to be a question of "when" not "whether" America will strike military targets inside that nation.

That was the analysis Monday on Morning Edition from Aaron David Miller, a public policy scholar at the Woodrow Wilson Center, a Washington, D.C.-based research center.

What would be the goal of a strike in coming days — most likely cruise missiles fired at "command and control" centers of the Syrian military?

"I suspect it will not be an effort to fundamentally change the battlefield balance," Miller told Morning Edition host Renee Montagne. "In effect, it will try to be a strike that looks to alter Assad's behavior, not the regime itself."

One reason the U.S. and its allies might not try to topple Assad with any missile strikes is that the forces fighting his regime include militant Islamists who swear allegiance to terrorist groups such as al-Qaida.

Also on Morning Edition, NPR's Larry Abramson reported from Indonesia, where he and other reporters are traveling with Defense Secretary Chuck Hagel. President Obama, Larry said, is now weighing the intelligence about last week's attack in Syria and the issue appears to be "how to respond, not whether to respond."

Meanwhile, there was word Monday from Damascus that snipers fired at a vehicle in the convoy that was taking U.N. chemical weapons inspectors to the scene of last week's alleged chemical attack. They had the Assad regime's permission to examine the site. It's not known who fired the shots, which disabled the car. According to a statement from the U.N., no one was injured and "the team will return to the area after replacing the vehicle."

As you might expect, the situation is dominating news outlets' headlines today:

-- "Confident Syria Used Chemicals, U.S. Mulls Action." (The New York Times)

-- "U.S. Talks Tough On Syria, Ramps Up Attack Planning." (The Wall Street Journal)

-- "Syria's Assad Reportedly Denies Use Of Chemical Weapons." (Los Angeles Times)

-- "Russia Warns U.S. Of Repercussions From Syria Action." (Bloomberg News)

-- "U.N. Team Visiting 'Chemical Attack' Site." (BBC News)

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